Why wouldn’t Trump, in classic Trumpian fashion, hold off his appointee until after the election so he can leverage it to force voter turnout or risk losing the seat on the Supreme Court to a liberal justice?
If I was a Republican who had soured on Trump and was considering not voting or voting for Biden, I would want nothing more than for Trump to cement his nomination before November so I didn’t have to vote for him. How does Trump not see this?
The gambit: Democrats are going all in hoping to block the nomination and get Biden elected so he can choose a liberal justice. The risk is Republicans can use this ploy to whip up support among the undecided thus propelling Trump to victory and the loss of yet another Supreme Court seat to a conservative judge. Which is worse: Four more years of Trump and the potential long term damage he can do or a conservative Supreme Court bench for many years to come?
If Democrats were given a choice of either kicking Trump out of the White House but having a conservative supreme court justice appointee OR four more years of Trump and a liberal supreme court justice, which would they choose?
The Republicans have put the Democrats in political check. They must surrender their queen, in this case a seat on the Supreme Court, in order to improve the odds of getting Trump out of office. Their strategy is clear. However, if they block the nominee, it will rally Trump’s base, paint them as villains and give Republicans a cause to fight for at the polls.
From where I’m standing, if I was Trump, I would use his power of nomination as leverage to force his voters to the polls in November to better ensure he is elected so he can appoint a conservative justice. By electing one prior to the election, his party wins but he loses. They really have no need of him anymore. And remember, Trump really does not care about anything but his reelection. If you asked him would you rather be president for another term but it would cost the appointment of a liberal Supreme Court justice, or lose the election but elect a conservative judge, which do you think he would choose?
Trump is in danger of losing the election but if he delays his justice appointment, his odds rise. Here’s the strategy, he blames the Democrats for blocking his appointment and urges his voters to the polls so he can honor their wishes AFTER the election. In this way, he makes the Democrats look like conniving babies and he gets reelected and picks a conservative judge thereby further cementing his legacy which is truly his only desire.
Democrats have a different tactic. They want it all! They want to block the nomination, win the election and have their political cake and eat it to. It is a risky gambit that relies heavily on voter turnout. Republicans will paint them as sinister operatives looking to introduce legislation to ban religion, take away their Bibles, eliminate Christmas, indoctrinate children with LGBTQ2 propaganda, promote secularism and humanism, unfriend Israel and institute national mandates on mask wearing and vaccinations, to name a few.
This fall election already promised to be politically contentious but now so even more with the death of RBG. The real question is which party will be more emotionally charged and therefore inclined to exercise their convictions at the polls?
What happens in November will chart America’s course for the foreseeable future, but just what that future will look like remains unclear.